Another wrong one.
New Zealand is still very much in the race. Even if they draw 1 and win one, they can still go through with below results.
If Aus win all 6, SL beat SA, Pak beat SA 2-0; a trans-Tasmanian battle will be there at Lord's.
Edit: NZ can go through with only 1 win; if addition to above results, India lose 1 point for slow-over rate.