Scenarios
How teams can qualify for semifinals (with assumption & no result scenario excluded)
Australia (10 points, matches remaining vs AFG, BAN)
1)win any one match
2)in worst scenario, there will be 2 to 4 teams on 10 points for 1 or 2 remaining spots. Considering current NRR of these 4 teams and considering lower ranked opponents, Australia is almost qualified.
Afghanistan (8 points, matches remaining vs AUS, SA)
1) win both matches, then it will be guaranteed qualification.
2) win any one match + SL wins vs NZ + ENG wins vs PAK
3) in other scenarios, situation will go on NRR. Considering current NRR situation, it will not be enough.
New Zealand (8 points, match remaining vs SL)
1) win match + Afghanistan doesn't win both match
(considering current NRR, assuming New Zealand can't overtake AUS's NRR & Pakistan can't overtake NZ's)
2) Afghanistan lost both matches + ENG wins vs PAK (similar NRR assumption )
Pakistan (8 points, match remaining vs ENG)
1) win match + Afghanistan doesn't win both match + SL wins vs NZ (with NRR assumption)
2) considering current NRR, unless big results in multiple matches, PAK can't qualify without winning match
Sri Lanka & Netherlands
Mathematically not yet eliminated, but practically not possible to qualify.
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How teams can qualify for champions trophy
Sri Lanka (4 points, match remaining vs BAN, NZ)
Netherlands (4 points, matches remaining vs ENG, IND)
Bangladesh (2 points, matches remaining vs SL, AUS)
England (2 points, matches remaining vs NED, PAK)
1) reach 8 points by winning 2 matches (for SL & NED)
2) reach 6 points + NRR situation may come
3) with 4 points, situation will go in NRR, if not 2 teams go 6 or above.
How teams can qualify for semifinals (with assumption & no result scenario excluded)
Australia (10 points, matches remaining vs AFG, BAN)
1)win any one match
2)in worst scenario, there will be 2 to 4 teams on 10 points for 1 or 2 remaining spots. Considering current NRR of these 4 teams and considering lower ranked opponents, Australia is almost qualified.
Afghanistan (8 points, matches remaining vs AUS, SA)
1) win both matches, then it will be guaranteed qualification.
2) win any one match + SL wins vs NZ + ENG wins vs PAK
3) in other scenarios, situation will go on NRR. Considering current NRR situation, it will not be enough.
New Zealand (8 points, match remaining vs SL)
1) win match + Afghanistan doesn't win both match
(considering current NRR, assuming New Zealand can't overtake AUS's NRR & Pakistan can't overtake NZ's)
2) Afghanistan lost both matches + ENG wins vs PAK (similar NRR assumption )
Pakistan (8 points, match remaining vs ENG)
1) win match + Afghanistan doesn't win both match + SL wins vs NZ (with NRR assumption)
2) considering current NRR, unless big results in multiple matches, PAK can't qualify without winning match
Sri Lanka & Netherlands
Mathematically not yet eliminated, but practically not possible to qualify.
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How teams can qualify for champions trophy
Sri Lanka (4 points, match remaining vs BAN, NZ)
Netherlands (4 points, matches remaining vs ENG, IND)
Bangladesh (2 points, matches remaining vs SL, AUS)
England (2 points, matches remaining vs NED, PAK)
1) reach 8 points by winning 2 matches (for SL & NED)
2) reach 6 points + NRR situation may come
3) with 4 points, situation will go in NRR, if not 2 teams go 6 or above.
And westindian 105 match costed pak the whole tournament.
