I think that this year's WC will be decided only on the basis of toss . Whoever will chase will be in the driving seat. October - November is the time when the ground is wet by late evening. Untill and unless teams score 400+ , they will be in a loosing position.
Secondly with the bowling line up of India , I don't think we have any chance . Australia, England, New Zealand and Pakistan are my top 4 choices for the final four in which England / Australia will taste victory.