[Forecast] Storm In West Indian Coast.

hrkansagara

Banned
Joined
8 Feb 2015
Messages
100
Reaction score
76
Message : It is possible that a powerful cyclone(ashobaa) may soon form in the areabian sea in north indian ocean, which will intensify and make landfall into gujarat state if western indian on may 21,2015.
this is forecast by austrailian meteorology center and indian meterology depament. this cyclone will affect konkan coast of maharashtra including gujarat which will lead to winds speed about 200 kmph and very heavy rains in gujarat and konkan on 21, 22, 23rd may 2015.

Source : I received message over Whatsapp from trusted government source on family member's phone. disaster management on one of coastal district also confirmed same and alerted electricity department also.

article :

Massive Tropical Cyclone (Ashobaa) To Hit Gujarat May 21, 2015?
It is possible that a powerful cyclone (Ashobaa) may soon form in the Arabian Sea in North Indian Ocean, which will intensify and make landfall into Gujarat state of Western India on May 21, 2015.

At presently only the reliable American GFS forecast system predicts this storm but we have seen from experience that generally GFS forecasts are accurate. We shall closely monitor the situation and keep you updated with latest forecasts as soon as we come across them.

According to the GFS, the cyclone will start off as a low pressure area on May 17, near the Karnataka-Kerala coast and then move north and intensify into a tropical cyclone (Ashobaa). The storm is likely to hit Gujarat on May 21, 2015.

We will monitor future GFS forecasts and see if the cyclone formation is sustained. We shall also observe the European Forecast Model and see whether it supports the GFS prediction.

The situation being fluid, we have to wait and see if the cyclone forms and what its track turns out to be. Gujarat, Pakistan or Oman?

Article Source : http://xtremeweatherforecast.blogspot.in/2015/05/tropical-cyclone-ashobaa-arabian-sea-may-2015.html
 
In Kerala heavy rainfall is on for the last two to three days. Even the capital city is almost under water.
 
Update :

Thunderstorms have been observed at a few places over Jammu & Kashmir and Tamilnadu & at isolated  over Assam & Meghalaya, Tripura,
Gangetic West Bengal, Coastal Odisha, Jharkhand, Konkan & Goa, Karnataka, Kerala and Lakshadweep between 0830 hours IST of yesterday to
0830 hours IST of today

Rainfall: (From 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today): Rain/thundershowers has occurred at most places over Jammu &
Kashmir, Arunachal Pradesh, Tamilnadu & Pudducherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep area; at many places over Sub­Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim,
Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Andaman & Nicobar Islands; at a few places over Himachal Pradesh and Coastal
Karnataka; at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa, Interior Karnataka, Coastal Andhra
Pradesh and Rayalaseema. Weather remained dry over rest of the country. The amounts of rainfall (in cm) recorded at 0830 hours IST of today are:­
Thiruvananthapuram­9; Paramathy­8; Tezpur and Dharmapuri­7 each; Cooch Behar, Kailashahar and Lengpui­5 each; Baghdogra and Jalpaiguri­4
each;   Kupwara,   Palakkad   and   Kodaikanal­3   each;  Gulmarg,  Srinagar,   Pahalgaon,   Dhubri,   North   Lakhimpur,   Itanagar,   Rangia,   Long  Island,
Bangalore, Kochin and Karipur­2 each; Jammu, Qazigund, Pasighat, Aijal, Sangli, Kolhapur, Belgaum, Vellore, Salem, Thanjavur, Tondi, Madurai,
Periakulum, Punalur, Salem, Valprai and Kanniyakumari­1 each.

Minimum temperatures are above normal by 2­ - 4°C at most places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi; at many places over Punjab, Rajasthan
and Bihar; at a few places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Gujarat region; at isolated places over West Uttar Pradesh,
West Bengal & Sikkim, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Saurashtra & Kutch and Madhya Maharashtra. They are below normal by 2­3°C at many places
over Tamilnadu; at a few places over Telangana and Rayalaseema; at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya, Odisha and East Madhya Pradesh
and near normal over rest of the country. Yesterday's highest maximum temperature of 45.7°C was recorded at Khargone ( Madhya Pradesh).

11270620_687058718065933_5465932490958977720_o.jpg


source : IMD report on 18th may.
 
Back
Top Bottom
AdBlock Detected

We get it, advertisements are annoying!

Sure, ad-blocking software does a great job at blocking ads, but it also blocks useful features of our website. For the best site experience please disable your AdBlocker.

I've Disabled AdBlock