Facebook Is About to Lose 80% of Its Users

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Facebook Is About to Lose 80% of Its Users, Study Says

Social media is like a disease that spreads, and then dies


Facebook’s growth will eventually come to a quick end, much like an infectious disease that spreads rapidly and suddenly dies, say Princeton researchers who are using diseases to model the life cycles of social media.

Disease models can be used to understand the mass adoption and subsequent flight from online social networks, researchers at Princeton’s Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering say in a study released Jan. 17. The study has not been peer-reviewed. Updating traditional models on disease spread to assume that “recovery” requires contact with a non diseased member i.e., a nonuser of Facebook (“recovered” member of the population)
researchers predicted that Facebook would see a rapid decline, causing the site to lose 80% of its peak user base between 2015 and 2017.

Read full here :

Facebook Is About to Lose 80% of Its Users, Study Says | TIME.com


You can also check out the full study here
 
Basically, Facebook users will lose interest in Facebook over time as their peers lose interest — if the model is correct. ”Ideas, like diseases, have been shown to spread infectiously between people before eventually dying out, and have been successfully described with epidemiological models,” write the researchers.

You can check out the full study here.

So does that mean desease facebook mirage will die soon along with users! ;)
 
NinadG said:
Basically, Facebook users will lose interest in Facebook over time as their peers lose interest — if the model is correct. ”Ideas, like diseases, have been shown to spread infectiously between people before eventually dying out, and have been successfully described with epidemiological models,” write the researchers.

You can check out the full study here.

So does that mean desease facebook mirage will die soon along with users! ;)

Orkut lost the same way.
 
Facebook is dying so what will be the future for Google+ ? Will it dye the same way or is the world of virtual web is an illusion that is destined to die?
 
whichever website comes it will last only a half or A decade not more than
we have seen orkut, Now Facebook will be the next orkut and may be Google+ would be the next Facebook
 
Facebook’s hilarious reply to ‘disease & death’ study


WASHINGTON: Facebook has debunked the recent study by the Princeton University that the social networking website would lose 80% of its users by 2015-2017.

Facebook's data scientists have used the Princeton study's "correlation equals causation" methodology of tracking Google search volume to show the university would lose all of its students by 2021.

"Our research unequivocally demonstrated that Princeton may be in danger of disappearing entirely," Facebook Data Scientist Mike Develin posted on the website.

The Princeton study made a strained epidemiological analogy comparing Facebook to a "disease" that users eventually "recover" from.

The critical error in the non-peer-reviewed study is stating that since the volume of searches for "Facebook" began declining in 2012, it must mean there's an ongoing decline in Facebook usage, according to a report in Techcrunch.com.


Facebook’s hilarious reply to ‘disease & death’ study - The Times of India
 
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